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- The FBI Behavioral Analysis Unit’s Las Vegas Review Panel has completed a final investigation into the October 1st, 2017 shooting committed by Stephen Paddock. These are the 10 Key Findings:
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The LVRP found no evidence that Paddock’s attack was motivated by any ideological or political
beliefs. The LVRP concludes that
Paddock’s attack was neither directed, inspired, nor enabled by ideologically-motivated persons or groups.
Paddock was not seeking to further any religious, social, or political
agenda through his actions. The LVRP further assesses that
Paddock conspired with no one; he acted alone.
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The LVRP concludes that there was
no single or clear motivating factor
behind Paddock’s attack. Throughout his life, Paddock went to great
lengths to keep his thoughts private, and that extended to his final
thinking about this mass murder. Active shooters rarely have a singular
motive or reason for engaging in a mass homicide. More often their
motives are a complex merging of developmental issues, interpersonal
relationships, clinical issues, and contextual stressors. The LVRP
assesses that in this regard, Paddock was no different.
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Investigators found no manifesto, video, suicide note, or other
communication (hidden, encrypted, coded, or otherwise) relating to the
planned attack or explaining his reason for attacking. However,
an important aspect of the attack was Paddock’s desire to die by suicide.
As he grew older, Paddock became increasingly distressed and intolerant
of stimuli while simultaneously failing to navigate common life
stressors affiliated with aging. The LVRP assesses that Paddock
experienced an objective (and subjective) decline in physical and mental
health, level of functioning, and financial status over the last
several years of his life. In reaction to this decline, Paddock
concluded that he would seek to control the ending of his life via a
suicidal act. His inability or unwillingness to perceive any
alternatives to this ending influenced his decision to attack.
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The LVRP concludes that
Paddock’s
intention to die by suicide was compounded by his
desire to attain a certain degree of infamy via a mass casualty attack.
In this aspect, the LVRP believes that Paddock was influenced by the
memory of his father, who was himself a well-known criminal.
Paddock’s father created
a façade to mask his true criminal identity and hide his diagnosed
psychopathic history, and in so doing ultimately achieved significant
criminal notoriety.
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The LVRP assesses that Paddock displayed minimal empathy throughout his
life and primarily viewed others through a transactional lens of costs
and benefits.
Paddock’s decision to murder
people while they were being entertained was consistent with his personality.
He had a history of exploiting others through manipulation and
duplicity, sometimes resulting in a cruel deprivation of their
expectations without warning.
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Exhaustive investigations by the LVMPD and the FBI yielded
no indication that Paddock’s attack
was motivated by a grievance against any specific casino, hotel, or
institution in Las Vegas; the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino; the Route
91 Harvest Festival; or against anyone killed or injured during the
attack.
Paddock’s exploration of other potential sites suggests that his final
selection was based on the identification of a tactically-advantageous
locatn from which to attack. His selected position in a hotel room on
the 32nd
floor enabled Paddock to shoot at a densely-packed crowd of
unsuspecting and vulnerable people. Further, it provided sufficient
privacy for Paddock to prepare for and execute the attack, all within
driving distance of his residence in Mesquite.
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Throughout his life, Paddock displayed an ability to devote significant
time, focused attention, and energy to specific hobbies or projects of
interest. Once Paddock decided to attack,
he characteristically devoted time, attention, and energy to the shooting.
Paddock engaged in detailed preparations for the attack, including a
year-long burst of firearms and ammunition acquisition. The planning and
preparation
–
in and of itself
–
was likely satisfying to Paddock as it provided a sense of direction
and control despite his mental and physical decline. He engaged in
significant, methodical, Internet-based research regarding site
selection, police tactics and response, and ballistics. Paddock
conducted in-person site surveillance and engaged in end-of-life
planning. Despite Paddock’s research, planning, and preparation,
the LVRP found no evidence
that he communicated his intent to commit an attack to others or that
anyone was aware of his objective. This finding is consistent with
Paddock’s personality and private nature.
-
There is no evidence that Paddock planned for or sought to escape the
Mandalay Bay hotel room after the attack. Further, the LVRP assesses
that
Paddock took multiple, calculated steps to insure that he could commit suicide at a time and in a manner of his choosing.
This included the use of surveillance cameras to alert Paddock to
approaching police responders and his decision to bring one handgun (a
.38 caliber revolver) which he used to commit suicide. The LVRP assesses
that Paddock accelerated the timing of his attack on the Route 91
Harvest Festival based on his perception that a security/law enforcement
response to his room was imminent.
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Prior to the attack,
Paddock maintained interpersonal relationships and was not completely isolated.
He appeared to demonstrate authentic concern and responsibility for his
girlfriend and certain family members while sustaining amicable
relationships with previous intimate partners.
Paddock’s declining
mental and physical condition, stressors, and concerning behaviors in
the years leading up to the attack were observed by others although not
interpreted as indicative of preparation for a mass casualty attack.
- The LVRP’s Key Findings illustrate that Paddock was, in many ways, similar to other active
shooters the FBI has studied.
Research conducted by the FBI indicates that active shooters typically
experience an average of 3.6 stressors prior to an attack and display an
average of 4.7 concerning behaviors to others. Additionally, 21% of
active shooters studied by the FBI had no identifiable grievance or the
grievance was unknown prior to their attack. More than half lived with
someone else and 48% had suicidal ideation or engaged in suicide-related
behaviors at some point prior to the attack.
Note: The bold segments reflect the bold text in the original document.
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